In conclusion, it should be noted that the results of the study can only be the first step ... Only an integrated system approach can help with forecasting, strategic ... Retrieved from http://papers.nber.org/books/bry_71-1 Chlon-Dominczak, A. (2016). ... Retrieved from http://www.opf.slu.cz/kfi/icfb/proc2011/pdf/22_Chybalski.pdf ...
Lessons of the Financial Crisis for Risk Management Michael J. Mazarr. 7. ... Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (New York: Crown, 2015), ... pdf. Christopher Brown and Cheng Hao, “Treating Uncertainty as Risk: The ... of Markets: A Fractal View of Financial Turbulence (New York: Basic Books, 2004), 4.. 7 These books have excellent definitions of complexity in relation to ... systems. www.web.mit.edu/esd.83/www/notebook/Complex%20Adaptive%20Systems.pdf. ... dynamical systems: chaos, fractals, selfsimilarity and the limits of prediction.. Available: http://cemp.gmu.edu/files/pdfs/Annual_Research_Forum/2012/ ... Mandelbrot, B., Hudson, R. L. (2005) The (Mis)Behaviour of Markets: A Fractal View of Risk, Ruin and Reward. London: Profile Books. ... Muradoglu,G.(2002) Portfolio managers' and novices' forecasts ofrisk and return: arethere predictable forecast ...
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